NBA Playoffs – first round predictions

Well, OK. It's time for the games that matter to begin!

Let's start off in the East.

Chicago v. Washington
Chicago has home court advantage. I think Washington is going to win. But it isn't going to be easy. Washington in 6.

Boston v. Indiana
With Jermaine O'Neal back in uniform for Indy, no. 3 seed Boston will go down in 5.

Detroit v. Philadelphia
Iverson's good, but he's not good enough to win more than a game against the champs with nothing more than a bunch of kids and a gimpy Webber by his side. Detroit in 5. Maybe 4.

Miami v. New Jersey
This'll be tougher than most expect, I think. Miami still win, but it may take 6 games to do it. And those won't be easy games. NJ may only have Carter and Kidd, but those two are really, really good.

And on to the the West:
Dallas v. Houston
Really hard to call. Should be a great series either way. I'm going with my guy TMac and predicting Houston in 6.

Sacramento v. Seattle
Seattle will pay the price for playoffs inexperience and having no inside scoring ability. You can't win in the playoffs that way. Sacramento gets a huge boost from having Bobby Jackson back, and take this series in 6 at most.

San Antonio v. Denver
I like Denver. I think they're a nice team. That said, San Antonio is too good, to experienced, too error free. And George Carl isn't as good a coach as they think he is. Spurs in 5. Maybe 4.

Phoenix v. Memphis
Memphis is supposed to be a tough matchup for the Suns. I don't care. Amare, Nash, and Marion would each be the best player in Memphis, so they win in 5.

7 מחשבות על “NBA Playoffs – first round predictions”

  1. He would like to. But then Marion would steal his ball, dunk on him, block him, and shoot a three before he knew what hit him.

    I like Pau. If he continues to evolve as a player, he may become better than the Matrix. Right now? I'd take Marion any day.

    As for all the way, it's too early to tell. San Antonio is certainly the favorite if Duncan is anywhere near %100.

  2. Marion might be better now, but only as a role player.He's not a franchise player like Pau, who would've given better season if he wasn't injured most of the time, and then I'm sure you wouldn't have said something like that.Put Marion in Memphis and he's an improved version of Posey or Battier.As much as I appreciate him, I dont think you should make more of him than what he is.

  3. I can barely relate to what you just wrote. Marion is so much better than Posey and Battier it's not even funny. It's not even in the same ballpark.

  4. He may be better, that's why I said improved, but they're still the same type of players.Dont ignore all of my words by taking one of them and misread it.

  5. Let's talk numbers. Since Marion plays more minutes, I've calculated the stats per 40 minutes. Here we go:

    Points
    Marion: 19.96
    Battier: 12.61
    Posey: 11.73

    Rebounds
    Marion: 11.64
    Battier: 6.57
    Posey: 6.34

    Assists
    Marion: 1.95
    Battier: 2.00
    Posey: 2.55

    Steals
    Marion: 2.07
    Battier: 1.45
    Posey: 1.39

    Steals
    Marion: 1.51
    Battier: 1.22
    Posey: 0.66

    Do these REALLY look like similar numbers to you? Like the numbers put out by "same type of players?"

    Posey and Battier are both an inch TALLER than Marion, and he's got nearly twice the rebounds per 40 minutes. He scores close to double what they do per 40 minutes, and does so at a better shooting percentage. He steals more, and he blocks more, even though he's constantly guarding players who are bigger than he is, while they guard smaller players. He's Phoenix best defender, while Posey and Battier rank as decent defenders.

    If Shawn Marion is an improved version of these guys, Michael Jordan was an improved version of Harold Minor. And also… Role player? Do role players average 20 and 10? Marion WAS the franchise guy in Phoenix. Take big Amare out, and he's the franchise player right now. Here's what he did in February against Denver, when Amare was out – 30 points, 14 rebounds, 3 assists. Suns won 123-114.

    And since I'm a fantasy player, I'll add that Marion was the fifth player in the entire league as far as fantasy production this year by our league's tally, behind KG, LBJ, Nowitzki, and AI. Amare was sixth. Battier was no. 90. Posey was no 237.

  6. Both your opening and ending words show what's wrong with your observation regarding this player.You're looking at stats – but stats dont tell the whole story.If I may also use MJ as an example, than judging by fantasy standarts, KG is better.Marion is not a player who can create his own shots.I also thought of him as a future-franchise before Amare came, but truth was, Kidd was the guy responsible for getting him such great scoring numbers, just like he did with K-Mart at New Jeresy, and just like Nash is responsible for it now.
    As for other aspects of the game, it's true that Marion is a better rebounder, stealer and shot blocker.But that doesn't make him a better defender, simply more of an explosive one, which explains the rebounding and blocks, and a mismatched one, which explains the steals.Being Phenix best defender is not a hard task, whereas Memphis is a great defensive team, especially since Prattelo took over.Marion cant guard someone and make him non-exist on offense, as opposed to Battier and Posey.According to your logic, Marion is a better deffender than Bowen, because his stats are better.Some things dont show in stats, at least not in the simple ones.

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